How Accurate Are Pac-10 Picks?

rightontarget Nick has done some interesting research concerning historical Pac-10 rankings. You can read about it here.  His point is basically this – preseason Pac-10 polls can be wildly inaccurate. How often do the Pac-10 preseason favorites finish in their projected order? The experts should be right on target, or at least pretty close, right?  Nicks research gives us:

During the past decade, not once did the teams projected to finish 1-2-3 in the Pac-10 actually end up among the top three. And that’s with the free spot that is USC. Only four times of the past 10 polls have even two of the three teams finished among the top three.

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